How matches are classified

Every match on CS2PREDICT is automatically classified into one of three tiers based on team rankings and event importance:

Top tier

Matches between top-30 ranked teams at significant events (BLAST, ESL, PGL, IEM). This is where our models perform best. Both teams are well-known with extensive historical data.

Major tier

Major championship qualifiers and playoff matches. Even if teams aren't in the top 30, the event importance is high. Good data availability, reliable predictions.

Other tier

Lower-tier events, regional qualifiers, open qualifiers. Teams often have limited data — small match history, unstable rosters, no HLTV ranking. Our models achieve only ~50% accuracy here (coin flip level), so we show these matches as schedule only, without predictions.

Why this matters

Showing bad predictions is worse than showing no predictions. A user who follows a 50% accurate model will lose trust quickly. By focusing on Top and Major tiers, we ensure every prediction we show has genuine analytical value behind it.