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Match Prediction Engine
 Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 84.6%    VANGUARD 82.2%    SENTINEL 81.5%    STRONGHOLD 81.5%    TIER3ELO 77.1%    NEXUS 75.8%    TIERELO 74.6%    TIER2ELO 72.9%    ELOHQ 72.3%    HIGHORACLE 69.1%   
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Last refresh: 2026-07-03 00:00 UTC · Next: 5 min

Model Leaderboard

Prediction accuracy across top tier matches

Top Major All
#1
84.6%
TRIBUNALPro
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
44 ✓ / 52
8 wrong
#2
82.2%
VANGUARDPro
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
37 ✓ / 45
8 wrong
#3
81.5%
SENTINELPro
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
53 ✓ / 65
12 wrong
#4
81.5%
STRONGHOLDPro
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
101 ✓ / 124
23 wrong
#5
77.1%
TIER3Pro
Top-teams ELO v3
101 ✓ / 131
30 wrong
#6
76.1%
NEXUSPro
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
70 ✓ / 92
22 wrong
#7
74.6%
TIERPro
ELO for top-30 teams
144 ✓ / 193
49 wrong
#8
73.0%
TIER2Pro
Top-teams ELO v2
154 ✓ / 211
57 wrong
#9
72.3%
ELOHQPro
High-confidence ELO
180 ✓ / 249
69 wrong
#10
69.4%
HIGH-ORACLEPro
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
68 ✓ / 98
30 wrong
#11
67.3%
WR10Pro
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
198 ✓ / 294
96 wrong
#12
65.0%
ELOFACEPro
ELO + training activity
227 ✓ / 349
122 wrong
#13
64.9%
STREAKPro
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
157 ✓ / 242
85 wrong
#14
64.6%
ELOPro
Team ELO rating
239 ✓ / 370
131 wrong
#15
63.9%
APEXPro
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
159 ✓ / 249
90 wrong
#16
63.9%
ORACLEPro
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
154 ✓ / 241
87 wrong
#17
63.9%
PHANTOMPro
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
154 ✓ / 241
87 wrong
#18
63.9%
SOSPro
Rank + form + opponent strength
227 ✓ / 355
128 wrong
#19
63.6%
MAJORPro
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
187 ✓ / 294
107 wrong
#20
63.2%
XGPROPro
Rank + H2H for top matches
184 ✓ / 291
107 wrong
#21
63.0%
WR10CPro
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
244 ✓ / 387
143 wrong
#22
62.5%
SURGEPro
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
15 ✓ / 24
9 wrong
#23
62.2%
OPENFree
Rank + form + head-to-head
211 ✓ / 339
128 wrong
#24
59.3%
SQUADFree
Player ratings
240 ✓ / 405
165 wrong
#25
56.1%
EAGLEFree
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
133 ✓ / 237
104 wrong
#26
54.3%
FORMFree
Win rate last 10 matches
188 ✓ / 346
158 wrong
#27
54.3%
WR10PFree
Pure win rate vs top-10
177 ✓ / 326
149 wrong
#28
49.9%
MINDFree
Psychology + tilt + H2H
169 ✓ / 339
170 wrong
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