Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 21 · May 11 – May 17, 2026

This week (Week 21 · May 11 – May 17, 2026) we analyzed 57 top-tier CS2 matches across 25 prediction models. STRONGHOLD dominated with 81.8% accuracy (9/11 correct), ahead of TIER at 80.0%. STRONGHOLD achieved a Brier Score of 0.1542 and Log Loss of 0.4943.

🏆 Model of the Week: STRONGHOLD

STRONGHOLD had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 9 out of 11 matches.

🥇

STRONGHOLD

ELO + SOS both >60% same direction

STRONGHOLD showed excellent performance with 81.8% accuracy across 11 predictions (9 correct, 2 wrong).

81.8%

Accuracy

11

Predictions

9

Correct

2

Wrong

Weekly breakdown

W20: 81.8% (11)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

Rank	Model	Accuracy	Predictions	Correct	Wrong
#1	STRONGHOLD	81.8%	11	9	2
#2	TIER	80.0%	25	20	5
#3	TIER3	80.0%	20	16	4
#4	TIER2	77.8%	27	21	6
#5	WR10	75.0%	44	33	11
#6	MIND	70.2%	47	33	14
#7	WR10C	69.8%	53	37	16
#8	ELOHQ	69.4%	36	25	11
#9	OPEN	68.1%	47	32	15
#10	WR10P	66.7%	51	34	17
#11	TRIBUNAL	66.7%	9	6	3
#12	SQUAD	66.0%	53	35	18
#13	FORM	65.3%	49	32	17
#14	XGPRO	64.5%	31	20	11
#15	MAJOR	64.5%	31	20	11
#16	STREAK	63.6%	33	21	12
#17	ELO	63.5%	52	33	19
#18	ELOFACE	62.7%	51	32	19
#19	SOS	55.1%	49	27	22
#20	APEX	52.8%	53	28	25
#21	PHANTOM	52.8%	53	28	25
#22	HIGH-ORACLE	52.6%	19	10	9
#23	NEXUS	50.0%	16	8	8
#24	ORACLE	47.1%	51	24	27
#25	EAGLE	40.4%	47	19	28