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Top models accuracy · top-tier VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 84.1%    STRONGHOLD 83.1%    TRIBUNAL 83.0%    TIER3ELO 78.9%    NEXUS 77.4%    TIERELO 76.9%    TIER2ELO 74.6%    ELOHQ 72.7%    HIGHORACLE 70.3%   
Model of the Week W23 → W24, 2026 — VANGUARD (85.7%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 24 · Jun 01 – Jun 07, 2026

27
Models ranked
940
Predictions
58
Matches
85.7%
Best accuracy
0.1258
Brier Score
0.4174
Log Loss

This week (Week 24 · Jun 01 – Jun 07, 2026) we analyzed 58 top-tier CS2 matches across 27 prediction models. VANGUARD dominated with 85.7% accuracy (6/7 correct), ahead of TIER3 at 83.3%. VANGUARD achieved a Brier Score of 0.1258 and Log Loss of 0.4174.

🏆 Model of the Week: VANGUARD

VANGUARD had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 6 out of 7 matches.

🥇
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction

VANGUARD showed excellent performance with 85.7% accuracy across 7 predictions (6 correct, 1 wrong).

85.7%
Accuracy
7
Predictions
6
Correct
1
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W23: 85.7% (7)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1VANGUARD85.7%761
#2TIER383.3%12102
#3NEXUS71.4%21156
#4ELOHQ70.0%30219
#5TIER269.2%26188
#6TIER68.2%22157
#7HIGH-ORACLE66.7%18126
#8WR10C66.0%503317
#9EAGLE63.0%462917
#10ELOFACE62.2%452817
#11STRONGHOLD60.0%1064
#12ELO59.2%492920
#13ORACLE58.3%482820
#14WR10P58.0%502921
#15SURGE56.5%231310
#16WR1055.6%362016
#17APEX54.9%512823
#18PHANTOM53.8%522824
#19SOS53.1%492623
#20MIND48.9%452223
#21STREAK48.1%271314
#22FORM47.8%462224
#23OPEN47.4%381820
#24SQUAD45.5%552530
#25XGPRO42.5%401723
#26MAJOR42.5%401723
#27TRIBUNAL25.0%413

🎮 VANGUARD Predictions This Week

6/7 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
Spirit 2-0 9z79% SpiritCORRECT
Spirit 13-1 MIBR87% SpiritCORRECT
Legacy 13-7 FlyQuest80% LegacyCORRECT
Legacy 8-13 MIBR79% LegacyWRONG
Spirit 13-5 BetBoom84% SpiritCORRECT
9z 13-9 FlyQuest77% 9zCORRECT
GamerLegion 2-0 BIG73% GamerLegioCORRECT
Week 23 → 24, 2026 — Top Predictors & Cash Prizes
Pickem Stage 1 Results + New Leaderboard Launch
New model: SURGE — capturing the "hot-hand" signal ELO misses
May 2026 — Knife Giveaway Winners + Top Predictors
Top Models May → June 2026 — STRONGHOLD leads at 78.4%
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