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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier NEXUS 100.0%    HIGHORACLE 86.4%    SENTINEL 86.3%    VANGUARD 86.1%    TIER3ELO 85.7%    STRONGHOLD 83.8%    TIERELO 81.7%    ELOHQ 78.1%    ORACLE 77.1%    TIER2ELO 77.1%   
Model of the Week W17 — NEXUS (100.0%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 17 · Apr 13 – Apr 20, 2026

25
Models ranked
541
Predictions
31
Matches
100.0%
Best accuracy
0.0884
Brier Score
0.3524
Log Loss

This week (Week 17 · Apr 13 – Apr 20, 2026) we analyzed 31 top-tier CS2 matches across 25 prediction models. NEXUS dominated with 100.0% accuracy (10/10 correct), ahead of STRONGHOLD at 100.0%. NEXUS achieved a Brier Score of 0.0884 and Log Loss of 0.3524.

🏆 Model of the Week: NEXUS

NEXUS had an outstanding week, correctly predicting 10 out of 10 matches.

🥇
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction

NEXUS showed excellent performance with 100.0% accuracy across 10 predictions (10 correct, 0 wrong).

100.0%
Accuracy
10
Predictions
10
Correct
0
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W16: 100.0% (10)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1NEXUS100.0%10100
#2STRONGHOLD100.0%880
#3TRIBUNAL100.0%440
#4TIER394.1%17161
#5ELOHQ91.3%23212
#6TIER290.0%20182
#7TIER89.5%19172
#8HIGH-ORACLE87.5%871
#9APEX85.7%28244
#10SOS80.8%26215
#11ELO80.0%30246
#12ELOFACE79.3%29236
#13PHANTOM79.3%29236
#14ORACLE78.6%28226
#15WR10C74.2%31238
#16WR10P74.1%27207
#17STREAK73.3%15114
#18WR1072.0%25187
#19SQUAD71.4%28208
#20EAGLE69.2%26188
#21MAJOR66.7%18126
#22XGPRO64.7%17116
#23FORM64.0%25169
#24OPEN61.5%261610
#25MIND58.3%241410

🎮 NEXUS Predictions This Week

10/10 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
Spirit 0-3 Vitality71% VitalityCORRECT
FURIA 0-2 Vitality68% VitalityCORRECT
Vitality 2-0 Natus Vincere72% VitalityCORRECT
HEROIC 1-0 illwill73% HEROICCORRECT
RED Canids 1-2 Spirit68% SpiritCORRECT
FURIA 2-0 Passion UA71% FURIACORRECT
Legacy 1-2 MOUZ72% MOUZCORRECT
3DMAX 0-2 Falcons70% FalconsCORRECT
Spirit 2-0 Liquid68% SpiritCORRECT
Gentle Mates 1-2 G271% G2CORRECT
Model of the Week W16 — TRIBUNAL (100.0%)
Model of the Week W16 — TIER (77.8%)
2 New Consensus Models: NEXUS & TRIBUNAL
How Match Predictions & Payouts Work
Model of the Week W15 — ORACLE (83.3%)
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