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Genauigkeit der Top-Modelle · Top-Tier SENTINEL 78,3%    STRONGHOLD 75,7%    TIER3ELO 73,9%    VANGUARD 73,6%    TRIBUNAL 72,7%    NEXUS 72,6%    HIGHORACLE 70,7%    ELOHQ 70,6%    TIERELO 70,5%    TIER2ELO 69,4%   
Model of the Week W42 → W43, 2026 — NEXUS (71.4%)

Weekly digest · Top-tier CS2 matches · Week 43 · Oct 12 – Oct 18, 2026

28
Models ranked
1036
Predictions
63
Matches
71.4%
Best accuracy
0.2248
Brier Score
0.6568
Log Loss

This week (Week 43 · Oct 12 – Oct 18, 2026) we analyzed 63 top-tier CS2 matches across 28 prediction models. NEXUS dominated with 71.4% accuracy (10/14 correct), ahead of SQUAD at 66.0%. NEXUS achieved a Brier Score of 0.2248 and Log Loss of 0.6568.

🏆 Model of the Week: NEXUS

NEXUS performed strongly this week with solid accuracy across 14 predictions.

🥇
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction

NEXUS showed strong performance with 71.4% accuracy across 14 predictions (10 correct, 4 wrong).

71.4%
Accuracy
14
Predictions
10
Correct
4
Wrong
Weekly breakdown
W42: 71.4% (14)

📊 Full Rankings This Week

Complete model performance for the week. The leader is highlighted.

RankModelAccuracyPredictionsCorrectWrong
#1NEXUS71.4%14104
#2SQUAD66.0%503317
#3ELOHQ65.0%402614
#4VANGUARD64.0%25169
#5ELO61.4%573522
#6ELOFACE60.7%563422
#7WR10C60.3%583523
#8HIGH-ORACLE60.0%20128
#9TIER360.0%1064
#10APEX59.6%573423
#11TIER58.8%17107
#12TIER258.8%17107
#13PHANTOM58.5%533122
#14ORACLE57.1%563224
#15FORM56.9%512922
#16EAGLE56.9%512922
#17OPEN52.9%512724
#18TRIBUNAL52.9%1798
#19SURGE52.2%462422
#20SOS51.9%542826
#21WR10P47.8%231112
#22STREAK47.1%341618
#23MAJOR46.7%452124
#24WR1046.2%261214
#25XGPRO45.5%442024
#26MIND42.9%492128
#27STRONGHOLD40.0%1046
#28SENTINEL40.0%523

🎮 NEXUS Predictions This Week

10/14 correct predictions on top-tier matches.

MATCHPREDICTIONRESULT
FURIA 3-2 BetBoom82% FURIACORRECT
Falcons 1-2 BetBoom71% FalconsWRONG
BetBoom 2-1 Legacy82% LegacyWRONG
Aurora 2-0 9z66% AuroraCORRECT
MIBR 2-1 BC.Game75% MIBRCORRECT
PARIVISION 1-2 BetBoom85% PARIVISIONWRONG
9z 1-2 Falcons74% FalconsCORRECT
MIBR 1-2 BC.Game75% MIBRWRONG
Aurora 2-0 Ninjas in Pyjamas75% AuroraCORRECT
FURIA 2-0 BetBoom81% FURIACORRECT
Falcons 2-0 Ninjas in Pyjamas84% FalconsCORRECT
Phantom 13-3 DNK70% PhantomCORRECT
ex-RUSTEC 2-0 The Golden Horde69% ex-RUSTECCORRECT
PRIVATE 1-2 Johnny Speeds67% Johnny SpeCORRECT
Week 42 → 43, 2026 — Top Predictors & Pro Rewards
Model of the Week W41 → W42, 2026 — STRONGHOLD (76.9%)
Week 41 → 42, 2026 — Top Predictors & Pro Rewards
Week 40 → 41, 2026 — Top Predictors & Pro Rewards
Model of the Week W40 → W41, 2026 — STREAK (77.8%)
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