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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 81.0%    VANGUARD 79.0%    STRONGHOLD 78.4%    TRIBUNAL 78.3%    TIER3ELO 75.9%    NEXUS 74.3%    ELOHQ 74.1%    HIGHORACLE 73.0%    TIERELO 72.5%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-09-12 07:32 UTC · Next:
Completed
FISSURE Playground 3 · Live · 06:00 · 2026-09-08 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 25 models
The MongolZ
60.5%
40%
60%
The MongolZ: $1.58 (1) · x2.47 Pool $3.90 MIBR: $2.32 (2) · x1.68
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
souv
Sep 06, 06:48
The MongolZ
$1.58
lost
doto
Sep 06, 06:10
MIBR
$1.32
+$2.22
won
zxy
Sep 06, 06:05
MIBR
$1.00
+$1.68
won
Model Predictions (25)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
76.9%
win probability
The MongolZ
51.8%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
76.0%
win probability
The MongolZ
66.9%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
71.6%
win probability
The MongolZ
74.3%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
70.8%
win probability
The MongolZ
63.9%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
69.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
66.8%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
69.0%
win probability
The MongolZ
79.0%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
67.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
67.9%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
67.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
73.0%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
64.6%
win probability
The MongolZ
66.1%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
64.2%
win probability
MIBR
60.3%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
63.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
78.4%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
62.2%
win probability
The MongolZ
65.1%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
61.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
63.8%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
59.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
67.0%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
58.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
53.0%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
57.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
49.8%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
56.5%
win probability
The MongolZ
60.5%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
The MongolZ
60.2%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
The MongolZ
60.0%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
MIBR
55.2%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
53.8%
win probability
The MongolZ
61.1%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.5%
win probability
The MongolZ
71.1%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.9%
win probability
The MongolZ
72.5%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.6%
win probability
The MongolZ
74.1%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.2%
win probability
The MongolZ
75.9%
accuracy
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