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Top models accuracy · top-tier
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75.8%
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74.5%
TIER3ELO
73.0%
VANGUARD
72.7%
NEXUS
71.1%
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71.1%
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70.1%
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69.8%
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69.5%
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68.7%
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2026-10-28 22:28 UTC
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Astralis vs fnatic
Completed
Astralis
#10
0-2
fnatic
Stake Ranked Episode 5 · Live · 16:00 · 2026-10-27 · TOP ·
HLTV →
Astralis
HooXi
phzy
jabbi
Staehr
ryu
fnatic
fEAR
jambo
KRIMZ
jackasmo
Br4tkO
Model Consensus
based on 21 models
Astralis
57.4%
49%
51%
Astralis: $
2.11
(
2
) · x
2.04
Pool $
4.30
fnatic: $
2.19
(
1
) · x
1.96
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match
· 3 latest
indoubt
Oct 24, 16:39
Astralis
$1.10
lost
chayJESUS
Oct 24, 16:39
Astralis
$1.01
lost
FromBehind
Oct 23, 06:44
fnatic
$2.19
+$4.30
won
Model Predictions (21)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
84.6%
win probability
Astralis
62.2%
accuracy
✕
SQUAD
Player ratings
76.1%
win probability
Astralis
60.4%
accuracy
✕
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
76.0%
win probability
Astralis
72.7%
accuracy
✕
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
73.1%
win probability
Astralis
50.8%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
69.0%
win probability
Astralis
55.0%
accuracy
✕
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
67.3%
win probability
fnatic
51.5%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
63.8%
win probability
Astralis
64.5%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
63.4%
win probability
fnatic
65.0%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
62.8%
win probability
Astralis
57.4%
accuracy
✕
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
61.2%
win probability
Astralis
50.2%
accuracy
✕
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
59.1%
win probability
Astralis
65.3%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
58.5%
win probability
fnatic
61.6%
accuracy
✓
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
57.7%
win probability
Astralis
57.2%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
57.1%
win probability
fnatic
65.3%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.6%
win probability
Astralis
70.1%
accuracy
✕
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.2%
win probability
Astralis
68.7%
accuracy
✕
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.9%
win probability
Astralis
69.8%
accuracy
✕
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
52.9%
win probability
Astralis
59.0%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
52.2%
win probability
Astralis
58.2%
accuracy
✕
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.0%
win probability
Astralis
73.0%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
52.0%
win probability
Astralis
57.9%
accuracy
✕
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