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CT
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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier
SENTINEL
75.8%
STRONGHOLD
74.5%
TIER3ELO
73.0%
VANGUARD
72.7%
NEXUS
71.1%
TRIBUNAL
71.1%
ELOHQ
70.1%
TIERELO
69.8%
HIGHORACLE
69.5%
TIER2ELO
68.7%
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Last refresh:
2026-10-28 22:28 UTC
· Next:
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Matches
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magic vs Astralis
Completed
magic
1-2
Astralis
#10
Stake Ranked Episode 5 · Live · 11:00 · 2026-10-28 · TOP ·
HLTV →
magic
MaSvAl
sFade8
AW
tENZY
mo0N
Astralis
HooXi
phzy
jabbi
Staehr
ryu
Model Consensus
based on 20 models
Astralis
59.5%
41%
59%
magic: $
1.68
(
1
) · x
2.39
Pool $
4.01
Astralis: $
2.33
(
2
) · x
1.72
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match
· 3 latest
indoubt
Oct 27, 18:00
Astralis
$1.06
+$1.82
won
kR4ken
Oct 27, 17:58
magic
$1.68
lost
Onryx
Oct 27, 17:55
Astralis
$1.27
+$2.19
won
Model Predictions (20)
SQUAD
Player ratings
90.4%
win probability
Astralis
60.4%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
80.1%
win probability
Astralis
62.2%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
72.9%
win probability
Astralis
72.7%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
65.6%
win probability
Astralis
64.5%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
Astralis
55.0%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
63.2%
win probability
Astralis
51.5%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
62.2%
win probability
Astralis
50.8%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
60.4%
win probability
Astralis
65.3%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
58.7%
win probability
Astralis
57.4%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
58.7%
win probability
Astralis
57.9%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
58.7%
win probability
Astralis
58.2%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
57.7%
win probability
magic
65.0%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
56.9%
win probability
Astralis
65.5%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
55.0%
win probability
magic
63.7%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.8%
win probability
Astralis
70.1%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
53.5%
win probability
Astralis
50.2%
accuracy
✓
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
53.0%
win probability
Astralis
57.2%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.6%
win probability
Astralis
68.7%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
52.6%
win probability
magic
65.3%
accuracy
✕
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.3%
win probability
Astralis
69.8%
accuracy
✓
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