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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 75.2%    STRONGHOLD 74.8%    TIER3ELO 73.0%    VANGUARD 72.7%    TRIBUNAL 71.4%    NEXUS 71.2%    ELOHQ 70.1%    TIERELO 69.9%    HIGHORACLE 69.5%    TIER2ELO 68.9%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-30 07:56 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Ranked Episode 5 · Live · 13:30 · 2026-10-29 · TOP · HLTV →
51%
49%
Astralis: $1.38 (1) · x1.93 Pool $2.67 Inner Circle: $1.29 (1) · x2.07
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
doni
Oct 28, 21:25
Inner Circle
$1.29
lost
nicoodoz
Oct 28, 20:48
Astralis
$1.38
+$2.67
won
Model Predictions (18)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
79.9%
win probability
Inner Circle
51.6%
accuracy
✕
SQUAD
Player ratings
71.3%
win probability
Astralis
60.4%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
71.2%
win probability
Astralis
62.3%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
Astralis
55.2%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
59.8%
win probability
Astralis
64.5%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
58.7%
win probability
Astralis
57.5%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
58.7%
win probability
Astralis
58.2%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
58.7%
win probability
Astralis
58.4%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
58.1%
win probability
Inner Circle
64.9%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
56.5%
win probability
Inner Circle
61.4%
accuracy
✕
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
56.4%
win probability
Astralis
65.3%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
55.0%
win probability
Astralis
50.4%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
55.0%
win probability
Inner Circle
64.7%
accuracy
✕
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.3%
win probability
Astralis
68.9%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
53.0%
win probability
Astralis
65.3%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.8%
win probability
Astralis
69.9%
accuracy
✓
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.1%
win probability
Astralis
73.0%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.1%
win probability
Astralis
70.1%
accuracy
✓
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