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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 75.8%    STRONGHOLD 74.1%    TIER3ELO 72.9%    VANGUARD 72.3%    TRIBUNAL 70.9%    NEXUS 70.8%    ELOHQ 69.8%    TIERELO 69.6%    HIGHORACLE 69.3%    TIER2ELO 68.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-27 09:48 UTC · Next:
Completed
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 · Live · 07:00 · 2026-10-24 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 22 models
Aurora
62.7%
58%
42%
Aurora: $3.00 (3) · x1.70 Pool $5.10 The MongolZ: $2.10 (1) · x2.43
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 4 latest
Oli
Oct 24, 06:54
Aurora
$1.00
lost
P
Pressi
Oct 21, 18:00
The MongolZ
$2.10
+$5.10
won
chayJESUS
Oct 21, 08:21
Aurora
$1.00
lost
indoubt
Oct 21, 08:21
Aurora
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (22)
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
76.7%
win probability
Aurora
65.1%
accuracy
✕
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
76.7%
win probability
Aurora
69.3%
accuracy
✕
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
74.1%
win probability
Aurora
70.8%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
73.9%
win probability
Aurora
61.9%
accuracy
✕
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
72.0%
win probability
Aurora
72.3%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
71.4%
win probability
Aurora
64.9%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
71.1%
win probability
Aurora
61.6%
accuracy
✕
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
70.2%
win probability
Aurora
50.6%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
68.8%
win probability
Aurora
65.5%
accuracy
✕
SQUAD
Player ratings
64.4%
win probability
Aurora
60.4%
accuracy
✕
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
61.8%
win probability
Aurora
51.6%
accuracy
✕
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
60.8%
win probability
Aurora
74.1%
accuracy
✕
SENTINEL
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
60.5%
win probability
Aurora
75.8%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
59.7%
win probability
Aurora
63.4%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
59.0%
win probability
Aurora
64.3%
accuracy
✕
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
58.2%
win probability
The MongolZ
49.8%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
55.9%
win probability
Aurora
65.0%
accuracy
✕
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
55.2%
win probability
The MongolZ
58.9%
accuracy
✓
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
53.8%
win probability
Aurora
57.2%
accuracy
✕
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.4%
win probability
Aurora
69.6%
accuracy
✕
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.3%
win probability
Aurora
68.6%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.2%
win probability
Aurora
69.8%
accuracy
✕
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