Last refresh: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC · Next:
Model Consensus based on 19 models
Aurora
68.7%
Model Predictions (19)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
83.5%
win probability
Aurora
63.4%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
81.3%
win probability
Aurora
66.2%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
79.7%
win probability
Aurora
84.7%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
78.2%
win probability
Aurora
66.2%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
76.8%
win probability
Aurora
63.0%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
76.1%
win probability
Aurora
86.1%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
72.2%
win probability
Aurora
66.8%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
70.8%
win probability
Aurora
68.3%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
70.7%
win probability
Aurora
64.1%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
69.0%
win probability
Aurora
53.7%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
68.7%
win probability
Aurora
61.0%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
68.3%
win probability
Aurora
67.6%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
67.9%
win probability
Aurora
63.6%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
59.9%
win probability
Aurora
53.0%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
58.8%
win probability
Aurora
75.4%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
57.1%
win probability
Aurora
48.6%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
56.1%
win probability
Aurora
76.3%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
55.9%
win probability
Aurora
79.1%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
53.8%
win probability
Aurora
81.3%
accuracy