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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier APEX 94.1%    ORACLE 89.5%    PHANTOM 88.9%    EAGLE 83.3%    TIERELO 82.3%    TIER3ELO 79.4%    ELOHQ 78.7%    TIER2ELO 77.5%    WR10 69.9%    STREAK 68.4%   
Last refresh: 2026-04-05 18:17 UTC · Next:
Upcoming
Surge
vs
LAG
ESL Challenger League Season 51 North America Cup 3 Playoffs · bo3 · 03:00 · 2026-04-06 · OTHER · HLTV →

Surge

Electrician
frog
Chicken
TheJelly
Molly

LAG

djay
Cryptic
consti
kmrn
Sandman
Model Consensus based on 4 models
Surge
55.7%
Model Predictions (20)
SQUAD
Player ratings
81.4%
win probability
Surge
60.3%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
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89.5%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
53.9%
win probability
LAG
62.7%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
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83.3%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
52.5%
win probability
LAG
45.5%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
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94.1%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
52.2%
win probability
LAG
64.1%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
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88.9%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
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66.2%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
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78.7%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
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82.3%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
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77.5%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
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79.4%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
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64.2%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
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65.7%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
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66.2%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
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38.2%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
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65.0%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
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69.9%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
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68.4%
accuracy
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