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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 85.2%    STRONGHOLD 84.7%    NEXUS 82.1%    TRIBUNAL 82.1%    TIER3ELO 81.3%    TIERELO 79.1%    TIER2ELO 76.3%    ELOHQ 75.4%    HIGHORACLE 74.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC · Next:
Completed
PGL Bucharest 2026 · Live · 10:00 · 2026-04-05 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 18 models
Astralis
60.3%
Model Predictions (18)
SQUAD
Player ratings
87.4%
win probability
Astralis
61.0%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
83.1%
win probability
Astralis
63.4%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
70.8%
win probability
Astralis
66.2%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
69.0%
win probability
Astralis
53.7%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
64.0%
win probability
Astralis
66.8%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
63.5%
win probability
Astralis
48.6%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
62.4%
win probability
Astralis
63.0%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
62.2%
win probability
Astralis
53.0%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
59.0%
win probability
B8
55.6%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
58.6%
win probability
Astralis
66.2%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
55.5%
win probability
Astralis
75.4%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
55.2%
win probability
Astralis
66.3%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
55.1%
win probability
Astralis
67.0%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
53.9%
win probability
Astralis
67.6%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.6%
win probability
Astralis
76.3%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
53.5%
win probability
Astralis
79.1%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
53.0%
win probability
Astralis
68.3%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.3%
win probability
Astralis
81.3%
accuracy
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