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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 79.6%    STRONGHOLD 77.1%    VANGUARD 75.9%    TIER3ELO 75.3%    TRIBUNAL 74.4%    NEXUS 72.9%    TIERELO 72.0%    ELOHQ 71.9%    HIGHORACLE 71.7%    TIER2ELO 70.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-05 19:07 UTC · Next:
Completed
PGL Astana 2026 · bo3 · 08:00 · 2026-05-09 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 23 models
The MongolZ
66.2%
27%
73%
The MongolZ: $20.12 (2) · x3.61 Pool $72.64 magic: $52.52 (3) · x1.38
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
tatazin
May 09, 02:23
magic
$3.90
lost
SayYouWill
May 09, 02:02
The MongolZ
$15.09
+$54.48
won
Tw1nk1e17
May 08, 08:10
magic
$27.00
lost
Xydoo
May 07, 08:27
The MongolZ
$5.03
+$18.16
won
Goofy
May 07, 08:12
magic
$21.62
lost
Model Predictions (23)
ELO
Team ELO rating
87.6%
win probability
The MongolZ
65.4%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
83.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
66.2%
accuracy
✓
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
80.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
72.9%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
78.1%
win probability
The MongolZ
66.1%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
77.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
66.9%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
77.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
71.7%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
77.2%
win probability
The MongolZ
66.7%
accuracy
✓
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
75.8%
win probability
The MongolZ
77.1%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
72.5%
win probability
The MongolZ
62.8%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
70.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
60.5%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
64.0%
win probability
The MongolZ
64.3%
accuracy
✓
SENTINEL
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
64.0%
win probability
The MongolZ
79.6%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
63.6%
win probability
The MongolZ
62.9%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
60.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
71.9%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
57.1%
win probability
The MongolZ
70.6%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
57.1%
win probability
magic
51.7%
accuracy
✕
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
56.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
72.0%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
The MongolZ
54.7%
accuracy
✓
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
54.5%
win probability
The MongolZ
75.3%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
53.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
57.8%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
53.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
58.8%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
53.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
59.0%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
52.1%
win probability
magic
49.6%
accuracy
✕
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