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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 87.1%    STRONGHOLD 86.4%    VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 85.2%    NEXUS 84.1%    TIER3ELO 82.8%    TIERELO 81.1%    TIER2ELO 77.9%    HIGHORACLE 77.3%    ELOHQ 76.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC · Next:
Completed
PGL Astana 2026 · bo3 · 14:00 · 2026-05-10 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 18 models
Monte
64.6%
Prediction Pool · $205.58
50%
50%
Monte: $103.95 (3) · x1.98 magic: $101.63 (2) · x2.02
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
tier0_s
May 10, 08:22
Monte
$32.31
+$63.90
won
Forester
May 10, 08:07
magic
$6.75
lost
tripex17
May 09, 14:30
Monte
$4.60
+$9.10
won
mazda
May 09, 14:25
Monte
$67.04
+$132.58
won
d1maje
May 09, 14:15
magic
$94.88
lost
Model Predictions (18)
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
81.0%
win probability
Monte
66.9%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
81.0%
win probability
Monte
77.3%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
79.4%
win probability
Monte
84.1%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
77.8%
win probability
Monte
68.2%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
77.1%
win probability
Monte
67.7%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
70.1%
win probability
Monte
57.1%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
67.7%
win probability
Monte
66.6%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
66.9%
win probability
Monte
63.5%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
64.9%
win probability
Monte
86.4%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
62.1%
win probability
Monte
66.7%
accuracy
SENTINEL
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
62.1%
win probability
Monte
85.2%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
61.8%
win probability
Monte
67.2%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
60.0%
win probability
magic
48.0%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
58.3%
win probability
magic
52.0%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
57.0%
win probability
Monte
61.1%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.4%
win probability
Monte
76.6%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.8%
win probability
Monte
77.9%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.7%
win probability
Monte
81.1%
accuracy
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