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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 87.1%    STRONGHOLD 86.4%    VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 85.2%    NEXUS 84.1%    TIER3ELO 82.8%    TIERELO 81.1%    TIER2ELO 77.9%    HIGHORACLE 77.3%    ELOHQ 76.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC · Next:
Completed
PGL Astana 2026 · bo3 · 05:00 · 2026-05-11 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 16 models
No consensus
Models disagree or confidence is below threshold
Prediction Pool · $159.53
29%
71%
HEROIC: $46.66 (3) · x3.42 Gentle Mates: $112.87 (2) · x1.41
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
arlli
May 10, 23:14
HEROIC
$11.54
lost
tripex17
May 10, 23:09
Gentle Mates
$3.60
+$5.09
won
Bakorino
May 10, 16:11
HEROIC
$13.36
lost
mazda
May 10, 16:01
Gentle Mates
$109.27
+$154.44
won
tier0_s
May 10, 15:56
HEROIC
$21.76
lost
Model Predictions (16)
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
66.0%
win probability
Gentle Mates
48.0%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
64.4%
win probability
HEROIC
67.7%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
63.9%
win probability
HEROIC
57.1%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
63.3%
win probability
HEROIC
66.9%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
62.0%
win probability
HEROIC
68.2%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
61.6%
win probability
Gentle Mates
61.1%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
57.7%
win probability
Gentle Mates
68.0%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.9%
win probability
Gentle Mates
63.3%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
Gentle Mates
64.4%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
55.4%
win probability
Gentle Mates
67.9%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
Gentle Mates
63.9%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Gentle Mates
53.8%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
53.9%
win probability
HEROIC
66.6%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
53.7%
win probability
Gentle Mates
52.0%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
52.6%
win probability
HEROIC
67.2%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
52.5%
win probability
HEROIC
63.5%
accuracy
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