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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 87.1%    STRONGHOLD 86.4%    VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 85.2%    NEXUS 84.1%    TIER3ELO 82.8%    TIERELO 81.1%    TIER2ELO 77.9%    HIGHORACLE 77.3%    ELOHQ 76.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC · Next:
Completed
PGL Astana 2026 · bo3 · 08:00 · 2026-05-11 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 17 models
The MongolZ
57.7%
Prediction Pool · $197.08
8%
92%
The MongolZ: $15.95 (2) · x12.36 G2: $181.13 (3) · x1.09
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
AZIDOT
May 11, 02:18
G2
$82.00
lost
seberya
May 11, 02:03
G2
$85.19
lost
tatazin
May 10, 16:32
The MongolZ
$8.58
+$106.02
won
souv
May 10, 16:16
The MongolZ
$7.37
+$91.06
won
tier0_s
May 10, 16:06
G2
$13.94
lost
Model Predictions (17)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
75.1%
win probability
The MongolZ
63.5%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
66.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
66.6%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
65.1%
win probability
The MongolZ
68.2%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
63.0%
win probability
The MongolZ
48.0%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
62.9%
win probability
The MongolZ
66.9%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
61.1%
win probability
The MongolZ
67.2%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
57.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
66.7%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
56.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
52.0%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
55.2%
win probability
The MongolZ
68.0%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
The MongolZ
53.8%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
54.9%
win probability
The MongolZ
63.3%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
76.6%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
53.0%
win probability
G2
61.1%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
52.8%
win probability
The MongolZ
67.9%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
52.6%
win probability
The MongolZ
67.7%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
77.9%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.2%
win probability
The MongolZ
81.1%
accuracy
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