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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 87.1%    STRONGHOLD 86.4%    VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 85.2%    NEXUS 84.1%    TIER3ELO 82.8%    TIERELO 81.1%    TIER2ELO 77.9%    HIGHORACLE 77.3%    ELOHQ 76.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC · Next:
Completed
PGL Astana 2026 · Live · 05:00 · 2026-05-12 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 22 models
HEROIC
60.0%
Prediction Pool · $120.13
14%
86%
HEROIC: $16.87 (2) · x7.12 magic: $103.26 (3) · x1.16
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
seberya
May 11, 23:27
magic
$81.33
+$94.62
won
souv
May 11, 23:07
HEROIC
$8.33
lost
Kizzzi
May 11, 17:39
magic
$10.09
+$11.74
won
tatazin
May 11, 16:53
magic
$11.84
+$13.77
won
FromBehind
May 11, 16:48
HEROIC
$8.54
lost
Model Predictions (22)
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
80.5%
win probability
HEROIC
77.3%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
80.5%
win probability
HEROIC
66.9%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
80.0%
win probability
HEROIC
84.1%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
79.4%
win probability
HEROIC
68.2%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
78.3%
win probability
HEROIC
67.7%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
73.6%
win probability
HEROIC
57.1%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
67.9%
win probability
magic
52.0%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
63.5%
win probability
magic
48.0%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
63.4%
win probability
HEROIC
66.6%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
61.8%
win probability
HEROIC
86.4%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
60.2%
win probability
HEROIC
66.7%
accuracy
SENTINEL
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
60.2%
win probability
HEROIC
85.2%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
59.8%
win probability
HEROIC
61.1%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
58.8%
win probability
HEROIC
67.2%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
56.6%
win probability
HEROIC
63.5%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
magic
53.8%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.4%
win probability
magic
67.9%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
53.6%
win probability
magic
63.3%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
53.6%
win probability
magic
63.9%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
53.6%
win probability
magic
64.4%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.0%
win probability
HEROIC
76.6%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.0%
win probability
HEROIC
77.9%
accuracy
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