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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 87.1%    STRONGHOLD 86.4%    VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 85.2%    NEXUS 84.1%    TIER3ELO 82.8%    TIERELO 81.1%    TIER2ELO 77.9%    HIGHORACLE 77.3%    ELOHQ 76.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC · Next:
Completed
PGL Astana 2026 · Live · 08:00 · 2026-05-12 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 12 models
Falcons
57.1%
Prediction Pool · $211.50
47%
53%
The MongolZ: $100.13 (2) · x2.11 Falcons: $111.37 (3) · x1.90
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
erners
May 12, 02:05
Falcons
$10.29
+$19.54
won
souv
May 12, 02:00
Falcons
$5.06
+$9.61
won
AGL
May 11, 17:03
The MongolZ
$5.29
lost
seberya
May 11, 16:58
Falcons
$96.02
+$182.35
won
Ne1XXX
May 11, 16:48
The MongolZ
$94.84
lost
Model Predictions (12)
SQUAD
Player ratings
73.7%
win probability
Falcons
61.1%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
66.1%
win probability
Falcons
63.5%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
57.2%
win probability
Falcons
66.6%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
56.2%
win probability
Falcons
67.7%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
56.0%
win probability
Falcons
68.2%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Falcons
53.8%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
54.7%
win probability
Falcons
67.2%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
54.4%
win probability
Falcons
52.0%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
53.5%
win probability
Falcons
66.9%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
53.3%
win probability
Falcons
57.1%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
52.7%
win probability
Falcons
63.3%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
52.3%
win probability
Falcons
66.7%
accuracy
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