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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 87.1%    STRONGHOLD 86.4%    VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 85.2%    NEXUS 84.1%    TIER3ELO 82.8%    TIERELO 81.1%    TIER2ELO 77.9%    HIGHORACLE 77.3%    ELOHQ 76.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC · Next:
Completed
PGL Astana 2026 · Live · 08:00 · 2026-05-12 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 23 models
Monte
61.2%
Prediction Pool · $130.29
69%
31%
Monte: $91.01 (2) · x1.43 The Huns: $39.28 (3) · x3.32
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
timo
May 12, 02:11
The Huns
$15.23
lost
mazda
May 12, 02:05
Monte
$41.00
+$58.70
won
b0RUP
May 11, 17:29
The Huns
$5.15
lost
tier0_s
May 11, 16:53
The Huns
$18.90
lost
AZIDOT
May 11, 16:48
Monte
$50.01
+$71.59
won
Model Predictions (23)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
86.1%
win probability
Monte
63.5%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
74.4%
win probability
Monte
61.1%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
74.0%
win probability
Monte
66.6%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
67.4%
win probability
Monte
86.4%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
66.4%
win probability
Monte
67.2%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
66.1%
win probability
Monte
52.0%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
Monte
53.8%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
64.2%
win probability
Monte
63.3%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
64.2%
win probability
Monte
63.9%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
64.2%
win probability
Monte
64.4%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
62.2%
win probability
Monte
87.1%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
60.7%
win probability
Monte
66.7%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
58.4%
win probability
Monte
66.9%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
57.8%
win probability
Monte
48.0%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
56.4%
win probability
Monte
68.2%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
56.3%
win probability
Monte
76.6%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
55.3%
win probability
Monte
67.7%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
54.1%
win probability
Monte
77.9%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
53.9%
win probability
Monte
67.9%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
53.9%
win probability
Monte
81.1%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
53.0%
win probability
Monte
68.0%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.6%
win probability
Monte
82.8%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
52.5%
win probability
The Huns
57.1%
accuracy
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