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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 87.1%    STRONGHOLD 86.4%    VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 85.2%    NEXUS 84.1%    TIER3ELO 82.8%    TIERELO 81.1%    TIER2ELO 77.9%    HIGHORACLE 77.3%    ELOHQ 76.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC · Next:
Completed
PGL Astana 2026 · Live · 11:00 · 2026-05-12 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 22 models
FURIA
62.7%
Prediction Pool · $153.54
43%
57%
FURIA: $66.42 (3) · x2.31 Gentle Mates: $87.12 (2) · x1.76
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
erners
May 12, 05:15
FURIA
$11.02
+$25.47
won
d1maje
May 12, 05:04
Gentle Mates
$82.12
lost
Ne1XXX
May 11, 17:09
FURIA
$46.46
+$107.40
won
Forester
May 11, 17:03
FURIA
$8.94
+$20.67
won
k1to
May 11, 16:58
Gentle Mates
$5.00
lost
Model Predictions (22)
ELO
Team ELO rating
81.7%
win probability
FURIA
66.6%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
78.7%
win probability
FURIA
67.7%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
77.7%
win probability
FURIA
63.5%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
77.3%
win probability
FURIA
68.2%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
74.9%
win probability
FURIA
84.1%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
72.6%
win probability
FURIA
67.2%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
72.6%
win probability
FURIA
66.9%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
72.6%
win probability
FURIA
77.3%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
72.6%
win probability
FURIA
57.1%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
66.0%
win probability
FURIA
61.1%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
64.6%
win probability
FURIA
52.0%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
57.3%
win probability
FURIA
76.6%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
56.2%
win probability
FURIA
77.9%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
55.2%
win probability
FURIA
81.1%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Gentle Mates
53.8%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
53.9%
win probability
FURIA
82.8%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
53.5%
win probability
FURIA
67.9%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
52.8%
win probability
Gentle Mates
63.3%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
52.8%
win probability
Gentle Mates
63.9%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
52.8%
win probability
Gentle Mates
64.4%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
52.7%
win probability
Gentle Mates
48.0%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
52.4%
win probability
FURIA
66.7%
accuracy
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