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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 87.1%    STRONGHOLD 86.4%    VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 85.2%    NEXUS 84.1%    TIER3ELO 82.8%    TIERELO 81.1%    TIER2ELO 77.9%    HIGHORACLE 77.3%    ELOHQ 76.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC · Next:
Completed
PGL Astana 2026 · Live · 11:00 · 2026-05-13 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 14 models
No consensus
Models disagree or confidence is below threshold
Prediction Pool · $225.52
51%
49%
The MongolZ: $115.79 (3) · x1.95 Aurora: $109.73 (2) · x2.06
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
nicoodoz
May 13, 05:19
The MongolZ
$10.59
lost
Viresse
May 13, 05:04
The MongolZ
$12.06
lost
mazda
May 12, 23:21
Aurora
$101.13
+$207.85
won
Forester
May 12, 23:18
Aurora
$8.60
+$17.67
won
d1maje
May 12, 14:49
The MongolZ
$93.14
lost
Model Predictions (14)
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
64.6%
win probability
The MongolZ
68.2%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
60.9%
win probability
The MongolZ
63.5%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
59.2%
win probability
The MongolZ
66.6%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
59.1%
win probability
The MongolZ
48.0%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
56.0%
win probability
The MongolZ
67.2%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Aurora
53.8%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
54.6%
win probability
The MongolZ
68.0%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
54.3%
win probability
Aurora
61.1%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
53.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
67.7%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
53.1%
win probability
The MongolZ
64.4%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
52.8%
win probability
The MongolZ
63.9%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
52.2%
win probability
The MongolZ
66.9%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
52.1%
win probability
Aurora
52.0%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
52.0%
win probability
The MongolZ
67.9%
accuracy
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