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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier TRIBUNAL 87.1%    STRONGHOLD 86.4%    VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 85.2%    NEXUS 84.1%    TIER3ELO 82.8%    TIERELO 81.1%    TIER2ELO 77.9%    HIGHORACLE 77.3%    ELOHQ 76.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC · Next:
Completed
PGL Astana 2026 Quarterfinal · Live · 14:00 · 2026-05-15 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 14 models
Falcons
56.3%
Prediction Pool · $150.96
19%
81%
FURIA: $29.56 (2) · x5.11 Falcons: $121.40 (3) · x1.24
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
erners
May 15, 08:20
Falcons
$8.93
+$11.10
won
sliimey
May 15, 08:05
Falcons
$23.27
+$28.94
won
AZIDOT
May 14, 14:03
Falcons
$89.20
+$110.92
won
Trash
May 13, 14:27
FURIA
$17.15
lost
Paranormal
May 13, 14:01
FURIA
$12.41
lost
Model Predictions (14)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
68.9%
win probability
Falcons
63.5%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
Falcons
53.8%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
60.5%
win probability
Falcons
66.9%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
59.8%
win probability
Falcons
66.7%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
59.1%
win probability
Falcons
61.1%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
58.8%
win probability
Falcons
66.6%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
58.3%
win probability
Falcons
63.3%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
56.3%
win probability
Falcons
68.2%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
55.8%
win probability
Falcons
67.2%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
54.8%
win probability
FURIA
67.7%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
54.5%
win probability
Falcons
48.0%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
53.7%
win probability
FURIA
57.1%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
52.8%
win probability
FURIA
52.0%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.5%
win probability
Falcons
76.6%
accuracy
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