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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 79.0%    STRONGHOLD 76.3%    VANGUARD 76.2%    TIER3ELO 75.1%    TRIBUNAL 74.4%    NEXUS 72.1%    ELOHQ 71.9%    TIERELO 71.9%    HIGHORACLE 71.0%    TIER2ELO 70.2%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-03 16:57 UTC · Next:
Completed
IEM Cologne Major 2026 Stage 2 · Live · 12:30 · 2026-06-06 · MAJOR · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 23 models
Monte
56.5%
90%
10%
Monte: $184.88 (3) · x1.10 Pool $203.58 BIG: $18.70 (2) · x10.89
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
FxRE
Jun 06, 06:58
BIG
$8.30
lost
Hanka
Jun 06, 06:38
Monte
$60.88
+$67.04
won
AZIDOT
Jun 05, 21:06
Monte
$85.22
+$93.84
won
xelex
Jun 05, 20:35
Monte
$38.78
+$42.70
won
zxy
Jun 05, 20:20
BIG
$10.40
lost
Model Predictions (23)
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
71.1%
win probability
Monte
66.7%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
71.1%
win probability
Monte
71.0%
accuracy
✓
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
70.2%
win probability
Monte
72.1%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
69.4%
win probability
Monte
65.9%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
69.0%
win probability
Monte
66.2%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
64.6%
win probability
BIG
52.0%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
64.4%
win probability
Monte
62.6%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
63.5%
win probability
Monte
65.2%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
63.0%
win probability
Monte
62.7%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
62.2%
win probability
BIG
51.5%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
59.8%
win probability
Monte
64.2%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
58.9%
win probability
Monte
65.9%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
56.8%
win probability
BIG
49.3%
accuracy
✕
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
55.2%
win probability
BIG
58.3%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Monte
54.8%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
54.6%
win probability
Monte
70.2%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
54.3%
win probability
Monte
71.9%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.0%
win probability
Monte
71.9%
accuracy
✓
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.9%
win probability
Monte
75.1%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
52.7%
win probability
BIG
59.0%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
52.5%
win probability
BIG
58.8%
accuracy
✕
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
52.4%
win probability
BIG
59.4%
accuracy
✕
SQUAD
Player ratings
52.0%
win probability
BIG
60.1%
accuracy
✕
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