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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.6%    VANGUARD 77.6%    STRONGHOLD 76.9%    TIER3ELO 75.8%    TRIBUNAL 74.9%    NEXUS 73.3%    ELOHQ 72.5%    TIERELO 72.5%    HIGHORACLE 72.2%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-01 11:52 UTC · Next:
Completed
BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 Finals · Live · 13:30 · 2026-08-01 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 19 models
MOUZ
56.5%
33%
67%
Astralis: $1.62 (1) · x2.99 Pool $4.84 MOUZ: $3.22 (2) · x1.50
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
1LEFTY
Jul 31, 20:51
Astralis
$1.62
lost
Zhenn
Jul 31, 20:45
MOUZ
$1.85
+$2.78
won
nicoodoz
Jul 31, 20:40
MOUZ
$1.37
+$2.06
won
Model Predictions (19)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
82.6%
win probability
Astralis
52.0%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
72.3%
win probability
MOUZ
66.5%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
69.1%
win probability
MOUZ
62.9%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
68.4%
win probability
MOUZ
77.6%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
67.8%
win probability
MOUZ
65.5%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
67.0%
win probability
MOUZ
66.6%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
65.0%
win probability
MOUZ
67.2%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
62.8%
win probability
MOUZ
63.4%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
61.9%
win probability
MOUZ
66.2%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
58.3%
win probability
Astralis
51.6%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
57.1%
win probability
MOUZ
64.4%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
MOUZ
54.9%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
54.5%
win probability
Astralis
60.1%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.5%
win probability
MOUZ
72.5%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.4%
win probability
MOUZ
71.1%
accuracy
✓
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
53.2%
win probability
Astralis
58.6%
accuracy
✕
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
52.8%
win probability
Astralis
48.8%
accuracy
✕
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.8%
win probability
MOUZ
72.5%
accuracy
✓
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.1%
win probability
MOUZ
75.8%
accuracy
✓
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