Last refresh: 2026-08-17 08:47 UTC · Next:
Model Consensus based on 20 models
Spirit
65.0%
Spirit: $2.77 (2) · x1.44
Pool $4.00
MOUZ: $1.23 (1) · x3.25
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
hazr
Aug 01, 17:33
Spirit
$1.77
lost
Zhenn
Aug 01, 17:28
Spirit
$1.00
lost
d3j4vy
Aug 01, 17:21
MOUZ
$1.23
+$4.00
won
Model Predictions (20)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
85.3%
win probability
Spirit
63.7%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
84.0%
win probability
Spirit
60.9%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
80.8%
win probability
Spirit
46.3%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
79.1%
win probability
Spirit
80.1%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
72.8%
win probability
Spirit
66.3%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
71.8%
win probability
Spirit
50.8%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
66.8%
win probability
Spirit
69.2%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
66.2%
win probability
Spirit
68.6%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
65.5%
win probability
Spirit
67.0%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
Spirit
53.4%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
64.3%
win probability
Spirit
68.0%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
61.4%
win probability
Spirit
64.1%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
58.8%
win probability
Spirit
59.2%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
58.4%
win probability
Spirit
67.0%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
56.8%
win probability
Spirit
61.2%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
55.7%
win probability
Spirit
73.6%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
54.3%
win probability
Spirit
71.6%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
54.1%
win probability
Spirit
73.4%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
52.9%
win probability
Spirit
48.7%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.7%
win probability
Spirit
74.0%
accuracy