Last refresh: 2026-08-17 08:49 UTC · Next:
Model Consensus based on 25 models
Aurora
58.1%
BIG: $1.00 (1) · x3.12
Pool $3.12
Aurora: $2.12 (2) · x1.47
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
Shawk
Aug 09, 23:27
BIG
$1.00
+$3.12
won
chayJESUS
Aug 09, 23:27
Aurora
$1.01
lost
indoubt
Aug 09, 23:27
Aurora
$1.11
lost
Model Predictions (25)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
93.7%
win probability
BIG
46.3%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
73.7%
win probability
Aurora
60.9%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
72.1%
win probability
Aurora
66.3%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
71.4%
win probability
Aurora
80.1%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
70.7%
win probability
Aurora
63.7%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
70.2%
win probability
Aurora
76.6%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
69.4%
win probability
Aurora
69.2%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
67.8%
win probability
Aurora
68.0%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
67.3%
win probability
Aurora
73.5%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
65.0%
win probability
Aurora
67.0%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
64.2%
win probability
Aurora
68.6%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
62.8%
win probability
Aurora
64.1%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
62.2%
win probability
BIG
50.8%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
Aurora
53.4%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
56.3%
win probability
Aurora
71.6%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
55.6%
win probability
Aurora
73.4%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
55.0%
win probability
Aurora
73.6%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.9%
win probability
BIG
61.2%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
54.3%
win probability
Aurora
59.2%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
53.9%
win probability
Aurora
74.0%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
53.4%
win probability
BIG
48.7%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
53.4%
win probability
Aurora
67.0%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
52.4%
win probability
BIG
62.3%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
52.1%
win probability
BIG
62.0%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
52.1%
win probability
BIG
62.8%
accuracy