Last refresh: 2026-08-17 08:50 UTC · Next:
Completed
Model Consensus based on 25 models
Spirit
69.0%
Luminosity: $3.86 (3) · x3.70
Pool $14.28
Spirit: $10.42 (3) · x1.37
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 6 latest
FxRE
Aug 12, 12:36
Spirit
$3.12
+$4.28
won
777
Aug 12, 12:36
Spirit
$3.11
+$4.26
won
IamYourDaddy
Aug 12, 12:36
Spirit
$4.19
+$5.74
won
doni
Aug 12, 12:19
Luminosity
$1.37
lost
Jardani
Aug 12, 11:37
Luminosity
$1.49
lost
SBT
Aug 12, 11:32
Luminosity
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (25)
ELO
Team ELO rating
96.5%
win probability
Spirit
66.3%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
93.3%
win probability
Spirit
80.1%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
90.1%
win probability
Spirit
63.7%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
89.7%
win probability
Spirit
67.0%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
80.6%
win probability
Spirit
80.7%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
76.9%
win probability
Spirit
53.4%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
76.4%
win probability
Spirit
60.9%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
75.0%
win probability
Spirit
50.8%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
67.1%
win probability
Spirit
73.6%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
66.6%
win probability
Spirit
59.2%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
66.6%
win probability
Spirit
62.0%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
66.6%
win probability
Spirit
62.3%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
64.7%
win probability
Spirit
67.0%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
64.4%
win probability
Spirit
68.0%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
63.6%
win probability
Spirit
82.9%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
63.2%
win probability
Spirit
71.6%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
61.8%
win probability
Spirit
46.3%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
61.8%
win probability
Spirit
73.4%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
60.3%
win probability
Spirit
48.7%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
58.5%
win probability
Spirit
69.2%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
58.4%
win probability
Spirit
74.0%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
57.5%
win probability
Spirit
68.6%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
56.5%
win probability
Spirit
61.2%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
55.9%
win probability
Spirit
62.8%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
52.6%
win probability
Luminosity
64.1%
accuracy