Last refresh: 2026-08-17 08:49 UTC · Next:
Model Consensus based on 17 models
Aurora
60.4%
Aurora: $1.03 (1) · x2.94
Pool $3.03
M80: $2.00 (2) · x1.52
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
forkyz
Aug 12, 13:19
M80
$1.00
lost
PYREXX
Aug 12, 13:09
M80
$1.00
lost
SBT
Aug 12, 13:03
Aurora
$1.03
+$3.03
won
Model Predictions (17)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
85.1%
win probability
M80
46.3%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
80.3%
win probability
Aurora
63.7%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
75.3%
win probability
Aurora
60.9%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
74.5%
win probability
Aurora
80.1%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
68.6%
win probability
Aurora
66.3%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
64.1%
win probability
Aurora
69.2%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
63.9%
win probability
Aurora
50.8%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
62.4%
win probability
Aurora
67.0%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
61.5%
win probability
Aurora
68.0%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
Aurora
53.4%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
58.5%
win probability
Aurora
68.6%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
56.5%
win probability
Aurora
64.1%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
55.6%
win probability
Aurora
71.6%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
55.0%
win probability
Aurora
73.4%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.0%
win probability
Aurora
59.2%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.2%
win probability
Aurora
73.6%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
53.5%
win probability
Aurora
74.0%
accuracy