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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.6%    VANGUARD 77.6%    STRONGHOLD 76.9%    TIER3ELO 75.8%    TRIBUNAL 74.9%    NEXUS 73.3%    ELOHQ 72.5%    TIERELO 72.5%    HIGHORACLE 72.2%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-01 11:51 UTC · Next:
Completed
Esports World Cup 2026 · Live · 11:00 · 2026-08-15 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 25 models
Natus Vincere
59.3%
27%
73%
The MongolZ: $3.00 (3) · x3.59 Pool $10.78 Natus Vincere: $7.78 (3) · x1.39
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 6 latest
Emy
Aug 15, 10:32
Natus Vincere
$2.90
+$4.02
won
AZIDOT
Aug 15, 10:26
Natus Vincere
$3.88
+$5.37
won
EXP
Aug 15, 09:54
Natus Vincere
$1.00
+$1.39
won
hazr
Aug 12, 18:42
The MongolZ
$1.00
lost
chayJESUS
Aug 12, 18:42
The MongolZ
$1.00
lost
Ne1XXX
Aug 12, 18:42
The MongolZ
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (25)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
91.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
52.0%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
74.9%
win probability
Natus Vincere
62.9%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
70.9%
win probability
Natus Vincere
66.5%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
70.9%
win probability
Natus Vincere
67.2%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
70.9%
win probability
Natus Vincere
72.2%
accuracy
✓
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
70.9%
win probability
Natus Vincere
73.3%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
68.3%
win probability
Natus Vincere
60.1%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
66.7%
win probability
Natus Vincere
66.6%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
66.7%
win probability
Natus Vincere
63.4%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
64.8%
win probability
Natus Vincere
65.5%
accuracy
✓
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
62.5%
win probability
Natus Vincere
76.9%
accuracy
✓
SENTINEL
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
60.9%
win probability
Natus Vincere
80.6%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
59.8%
win probability
Natus Vincere
66.2%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
59.2%
win probability
Natus Vincere
64.4%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
58.7%
win probability
Natus Vincere
51.6%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Natus Vincere
54.9%
accuracy
✓
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.3%
win probability
Natus Vincere
58.6%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.5%
win probability
Natus Vincere
72.5%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
53.4%
win probability
Natus Vincere
58.0%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.9%
win probability
Natus Vincere
71.1%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.8%
win probability
Natus Vincere
72.5%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
52.7%
win probability
Natus Vincere
58.9%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
52.7%
win probability
Natus Vincere
48.8%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
52.5%
win probability
Natus Vincere
58.7%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
52.4%
win probability
Natus Vincere
59.2%
accuracy
✓
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