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84.3%
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82.9%
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80.7%
VANGUARD
80.1%
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76.6%
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74.0%
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73.6%
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73.5%
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73.4%
TIER2ELO
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2026-08-17 08:48 UTC
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The MongolZ vs paiN
Completed
The MongolZ
#8
2-0
paiN
#19
Esports World Cup 2026 · Live · 16:50 · 2026-08-16 · TOP ·
HLTV →
The MongolZ
910
mzinho
bLitz
Techno
cobrazera
paiN
nqz
biguzera
piriajr
vsm
snow
Model Consensus
based on 18 models
The MongolZ
61.6%
67%
33%
The MongolZ: $
6.27
(
2
) · x
1.48
Pool $
9.27
paiN: $
3.00
(
3
) · x
3.09
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match
· 5 latest
AGL
Aug 16, 10:03
The MongolZ
$3.79
+$5.60
won
Emy
Aug 16, 08:24
The MongolZ
$2.48
+$3.67
won
chayJESUS
Aug 15, 14:00
paiN
$1.00
lost
silrak
Aug 15, 13:55
paiN
$1.00
lost
kroK
Aug 15, 13:49
paiN
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (18)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
72.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
46.3%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
69.5%
win probability
The MongolZ
68.0%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
69.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
69.2%
accuracy
✓
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
68.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
76.6%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
67.9%
win probability
The MongolZ
68.6%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
67.9%
win probability
The MongolZ
73.5%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
66.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
63.7%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
66.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
80.1%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
65.9%
win probability
The MongolZ
66.3%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
63.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
64.1%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
60.5%
win probability
The MongolZ
67.0%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
59.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
67.0%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
56.6%
win probability
paiN
50.8%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
73.6%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.1%
win probability
The MongolZ
71.6%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
73.4%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
52.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
62.3%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
52.5%
win probability
The MongolZ
62.0%
accuracy
✓
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