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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 81.2%    VANGUARD 78.1%    STRONGHOLD 77.6%    TRIBUNAL 76.8%    TIER3ELO 75.9%    NEXUS 74.6%    ELOHQ 73.4%    HIGHORACLE 73.3%    TIERELO 72.7%    TIER2ELO 71.4%   
Last refresh: 2026-09-20 13:57 UTC · Next:
Completed
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 1 · bo1 · 16:00 · 2026-09-04 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 21 models
fnatic
59.0%
46%
54%
fnatic: $1.98 (1) · x2.15 Pool $4.25 ASTRAL: $2.27 (2) · x1.87
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
Paranormal
Sep 03, 17:12
fnatic
$1.98
lost
SBT
Sep 03, 17:06
ASTRAL
$1.27
+$2.38
won
lenci
Sep 03, 16:50
ASTRAL
$1.00
+$1.87
won
Model Predictions (21)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
75.0%
win probability
fnatic
63.4%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
71.8%
win probability
fnatic
78.1%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
68.6%
win probability
fnatic
66.1%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
65.1%
win probability
fnatic
66.9%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
64.1%
win probability
fnatic
67.9%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
62.4%
win probability
fnatic
66.9%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
60.9%
win probability
fnatic
66.9%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
fnatic
55.0%
accuracy
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
58.7%
win probability
fnatic
76.8%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
56.6%
win probability
fnatic
65.1%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
56.0%
win probability
fnatic
58.3%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
56.0%
win probability
fnatic
59.4%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
56.0%
win probability
fnatic
59.6%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
56.0%
win probability
fnatic
63.7%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.6%
win probability
fnatic
73.4%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
54.5%
win probability
ASTRAL
52.4%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
54.1%
win probability
fnatic
49.4%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.0%
win probability
fnatic
71.4%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
53.0%
win probability
fnatic
60.3%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.9%
win probability
fnatic
72.7%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
52.0%
win probability
fnatic
60.1%
accuracy
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