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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.6%    VANGUARD 77.6%    STRONGHOLD 76.9%    TIER3ELO 75.8%    TRIBUNAL 74.9%    NEXUS 73.3%    ELOHQ 72.5%    TIERELO 72.5%    HIGHORACLE 72.2%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-01 11:43 UTC · Next:
Completed
FISSURE Playground 3 · Live · 12:00 · 2026-09-08 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 20 models
G2
63.3%
72%
28%
G2: $7.80 (2) · x1.38 Pool $10.80 Astralis: $3.00 (3) · x3.60
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
Emy
Sep 08, 13:16
G2
$3.86
lost
AGL
Sep 08, 13:16
G2
$3.94
lost
Katkame
Sep 06, 12:45
Astralis
$1.00
+$3.60
won
Folke
Sep 06, 12:06
Astralis
$1.00
+$3.60
won
fEAR
Sep 06, 12:01
Astralis
$1.00
+$3.60
won
Model Predictions (20)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
89.1%
win probability
G2
52.0%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
81.2%
win probability
G2
62.9%
accuracy
✕
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
74.3%
win probability
G2
77.6%
accuracy
✕
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
71.3%
win probability
G2
51.6%
accuracy
✕
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
68.7%
win probability
G2
72.2%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
68.7%
win probability
G2
67.2%
accuracy
✕
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
68.4%
win probability
G2
73.3%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
68.1%
win probability
G2
66.5%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
67.3%
win probability
G2
65.5%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
64.2%
win probability
G2
66.6%
accuracy
✕
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
61.5%
win probability
G2
66.2%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
61.0%
win probability
G2
63.4%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
58.0%
win probability
G2
64.4%
accuracy
✕
SQUAD
Player ratings
55.8%
win probability
Astralis
60.1%
accuracy
✓
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
55.4%
win probability
G2
58.6%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
G2
54.9%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.1%
win probability
G2
72.5%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
53.0%
win probability
G2
58.0%
accuracy
✕
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.8%
win probability
G2
71.1%
accuracy
✕
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.6%
win probability
G2
72.5%
accuracy
✕
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