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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.6%    VANGUARD 77.6%    STRONGHOLD 76.9%    TIER3ELO 75.8%    TRIBUNAL 74.9%    NEXUS 73.3%    ELOHQ 72.5%    TIERELO 72.5%    HIGHORACLE 72.2%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-01 11:44 UTC · Next:
Completed
Thunderpick World Championship 2026 Closed Qualifier · Live · 14:00 · 2026-09-11 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 19 models
100 Thieves
56.6%
43%
57%
3DMAX: $1.67 (1) · x2.28 Pool $3.80 100 Thieves: $2.13 (2) · x1.78
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
5ilent92
Sep 10, 21:24
100 Thieves
$1.00
+$1.78
won
Dukalis
Sep 10, 21:11
3DMAX
$1.67
lost
tomate
Sep 10, 20:55
100 Thieves
$1.13
+$2.02
won
Model Predictions (19)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
77.5%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.9%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
69.8%
win probability
3DMAX
52.0%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
66.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
66.5%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
63.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.5%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
62.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
51.6%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
54.9%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
59.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
66.2%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
58.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
67.2%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
58.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
63.4%
accuracy
✓
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
56.4%
win probability
100 Thieves
74.9%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
58.0%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
58.7%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
58.9%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
55.1%
win probability
3DMAX
60.1%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
55.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
66.6%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
53.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.4%
accuracy
✓
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
53.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
58.6%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
72.5%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
52.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
48.8%
accuracy
✓
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