Last refresh: 2026-10-06 03:37 UTC · Next:
Completed
Model Consensus based on 20 models
Astralis
62.6%
Luminosity: $1.00 (1) · x2.27
Pool $2.27
Astralis: $1.27 (1) · x1.79
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
Model Predictions (20)
SQUAD
Player ratings
82.9%
win probability
Astralis
60.5%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
80.8%
win probability
Astralis
51.7%
accuracy
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
74.1%
win probability
Astralis
62.8%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
72.9%
win probability
Astralis
76.0%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
71.7%
win probability
Astralis
65.4%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
67.5%
win probability
Astralis
66.7%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
67.0%
win probability
Astralis
66.3%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
64.7%
win probability
Astralis
66.2%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
61.9%
win probability
Astralis
49.7%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
59.2%
win probability
Astralis
62.7%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
56.8%
win probability
Astralis
59.9%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
56.0%
win probability
Astralis
70.6%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
Astralis
59.1%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
55.3%
win probability
Astralis
72.0%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.1%
win probability
Astralis
57.9%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
Astralis
58.9%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Astralis
54.8%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.5%
win probability
Astralis
58.9%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.0%
win probability
Astralis
72.0%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
53.8%
win probability
Astralis
75.3%
accuracy