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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.6%    VANGUARD 77.6%    STRONGHOLD 76.9%    TIER3ELO 75.8%    TRIBUNAL 74.9%    NEXUS 73.3%    ELOHQ 72.5%    TIERELO 72.5%    HIGHORACLE 72.2%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-01 11:44 UTC · Next:
Completed
StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 · Live · 10:00 · 2026-09-17 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 25 models
MOUZ
65.0%
66%
34%
MOUZ: $2.00 (2) · x1.50 Pool $3.00 NRG: $1.00 (1) · x3.00
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
HorizoN
Sep 14, 06:13
MOUZ
$1.00
lost
r3salt
Sep 14, 06:11
NRG
$1.00
+$3.00
won
tdhr
Sep 14, 06:09
MOUZ
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (25)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
85.1%
win probability
NRG
52.0%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
83.5%
win probability
MOUZ
66.5%
accuracy
✕
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
82.6%
win probability
MOUZ
73.3%
accuracy
✕
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
81.7%
win probability
MOUZ
72.2%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
81.7%
win probability
MOUZ
67.2%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
79.7%
win probability
MOUZ
66.6%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
78.1%
win probability
MOUZ
65.5%
accuracy
✕
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
77.4%
win probability
MOUZ
63.4%
accuracy
✕
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
76.0%
win probability
MOUZ
77.6%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
74.0%
win probability
MOUZ
62.9%
accuracy
✕
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
70.7%
win probability
MOUZ
76.9%
accuracy
✕
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
69.5%
win probability
MOUZ
66.2%
accuracy
✕
SQUAD
Player ratings
66.2%
win probability
MOUZ
60.1%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
63.4%
win probability
MOUZ
64.4%
accuracy
✕
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
61.2%
win probability
MOUZ
74.9%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
56.4%
win probability
MOUZ
72.5%
accuracy
✕
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
56.2%
win probability
MOUZ
51.6%
accuracy
✕
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
56.0%
win probability
MOUZ
58.6%
accuracy
✕
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
55.8%
win probability
MOUZ
71.1%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
MOUZ
58.9%
accuracy
✕
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
55.1%
win probability
MOUZ
72.5%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
MOUZ
58.7%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
NRG
54.9%
accuracy
✓
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
53.6%
win probability
MOUZ
75.8%
accuracy
✕
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
53.6%
win probability
MOUZ
48.8%
accuracy
✕
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