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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.6%    VANGUARD 77.6%    STRONGHOLD 76.9%    TIER3ELO 75.8%    TRIBUNAL 74.9%    NEXUS 73.3%    ELOHQ 72.5%    TIERELO 72.5%    HIGHORACLE 72.2%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-01 11:44 UTC · Next:
Completed
StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 · Live · 14:42 · 2026-09-18 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 13 models
MOUZ
55.4%
Predictions locked — match finished
Model Predictions (13)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
73.5%
win probability
Natus Vincere
52.0%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
73.4%
win probability
MOUZ
62.9%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
61.3%
win probability
MOUZ
65.5%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
MOUZ
54.9%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
57.4%
win probability
MOUZ
66.2%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
57.2%
win probability
MOUZ
67.2%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
56.4%
win probability
MOUZ
58.0%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
56.2%
win probability
MOUZ
51.6%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
54.5%
win probability
MOUZ
48.8%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
54.3%
win probability
MOUZ
66.6%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
53.4%
win probability
MOUZ
60.1%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
53.1%
win probability
MOUZ
72.5%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
52.0%
win probability
MOUZ
64.4%
accuracy
✓
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