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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 79.6%    STRONGHOLD 77.1%    VANGUARD 75.9%    TIER3ELO 75.3%    TRIBUNAL 74.4%    NEXUS 72.9%    TIERELO 72.0%    ELOHQ 71.9%    HIGHORACLE 71.7%    TIER2ELO 70.6%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-05 19:07 UTC · Next:
Completed
ESL Pro League Season 24 · Live · 14:00 · 2026-10-04 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 18 models
MOUZ
58.3%
50%
50%
FURIA: $1.00 (1) · x2.00 Pool $2.00 MOUZ: $1.00 (1) · x2.00
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
Viresse
Oct 03, 19:40
MOUZ
$1.00
+$2.00
won
NikoM
Oct 03, 19:35
FURIA
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (18)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
85.8%
win probability
FURIA
51.7%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
81.3%
win probability
MOUZ
62.8%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
73.5%
win probability
MOUZ
60.5%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
70.1%
win probability
MOUZ
51.7%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
64.6%
win probability
MOUZ
54.7%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
62.3%
win probability
MOUZ
65.4%
accuracy
✓
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
61.5%
win probability
MOUZ
77.1%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
60.7%
win probability
MOUZ
64.3%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
59.1%
win probability
MOUZ
57.8%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
58.6%
win probability
MOUZ
66.9%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
58.1%
win probability
MOUZ
66.1%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
57.7%
win probability
MOUZ
66.2%
accuracy
✓
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
56.4%
win probability
MOUZ
59.0%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
55.6%
win probability
MOUZ
49.6%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
55.1%
win probability
MOUZ
66.7%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.8%
win probability
MOUZ
71.9%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.2%
win probability
MOUZ
70.6%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.1%
win probability
MOUZ
72.0%
accuracy
✓
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