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Top models accuracy · top-tier
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78.3%
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75.7%
TIER3ELO
73.9%
VANGUARD
73.6%
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72.7%
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72.6%
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70.7%
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70.6%
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70.5%
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69.4%
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2026-10-22 18:28 UTC
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Falcons vs Natus Vincere
Completed
Falcons
#4
2-1
Natus Vincere
#3
ESL Pro League Season 24 · bo3 · 17:00 · 2026-10-06 · TOP ·
HLTV →
Falcons
NiKo
m0NESY
TeSeS
kyxsan
kyousuke
Natus Vincere
iM
makazze
b1t
w0nderful
Aleksib
Model Consensus
based on 18 models
Falcons
62.2%
49%
51%
Falcons: $
1.00
(
1
) · x
2.02
Pool $
2.02
Natus Vincere: $
1.02
(
1
) · x
1.98
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match
· 2 latest
BestR1flerEu
Oct 05, 20:27
Falcons
$1.00
+$2.02
won
pl4in92tv
Oct 05, 20:22
Natus Vincere
$1.02
lost
Model Predictions (18)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
80.9%
win probability
Falcons
62.1%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
74.0%
win probability
Falcons
73.6%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
68.4%
win probability
Falcons
60.4%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
67.1%
win probability
Falcons
64.8%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
66.8%
win probability
Falcons
50.5%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
65.9%
win probability
Falcons
52.0%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
64.6%
win probability
Falcons
65.6%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
64.3%
win probability
Falcons
65.8%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
61.8%
win probability
Falcons
61.9%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
61.4%
win probability
Falcons
65.3%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
61.2%
win probability
Falcons
65.3%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
Falcons
54.6%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.7%
win probability
Falcons
57.3%
accuracy
✓
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
54.8%
win probability
Falcons
57.5%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
54.4%
win probability
Falcons
63.5%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.2%
win probability
Falcons
70.6%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
52.8%
win probability
Falcons
69.4%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.6%
win probability
Falcons
70.5%
accuracy
✓
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