Last refresh: 2026-10-22 18:28 UTC · Next:
Model Consensus based on 23 models
Spirit
64.1%
Aurora: $1.00 (1) · x2.37
Pool $2.37
Spirit: $1.37 (1) · x1.73
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
Model Predictions (23)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
86.5%
win probability
Spirit
62.1%
accuracy
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
83.8%
win probability
Spirit
73.6%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
81.2%
win probability
Spirit
64.8%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
72.2%
win probability
Spirit
65.3%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
71.4%
win probability
Spirit
75.7%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
69.7%
win probability
Spirit
50.5%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
69.0%
win probability
Spirit
54.6%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
66.7%
win probability
Spirit
65.3%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
65.8%
win probability
Spirit
65.8%
accuracy
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
63.4%
win probability
Spirit
58.9%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
62.7%
win probability
Spirit
57.3%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
61.5%
win probability
Spirit
63.5%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
60.4%
win probability
Spirit
65.6%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
58.5%
win probability
Spirit
49.8%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
57.9%
win probability
Spirit
70.6%
accuracy
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
57.6%
win probability
Spirit
57.5%
accuracy
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
57.4%
win probability
Spirit
52.0%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
56.0%
win probability
Spirit
69.4%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
55.4%
win probability
Spirit
70.5%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
53.8%
win probability
Spirit
73.9%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
53.3%
win probability
Spirit
58.1%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
53.1%
win probability
Spirit
61.9%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
53.0%
win probability
Spirit
57.8%
accuracy