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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 78.3%    STRONGHOLD 75.7%    TIER3ELO 73.9%    VANGUARD 73.6%    TRIBUNAL 72.7%    NEXUS 72.6%    HIGHORACLE 70.7%    ELOHQ 70.6%    TIERELO 70.5%    TIER2ELO 69.4%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-22 18:30 UTC · Next:
Completed
1win Private Club Season 2Playoffs · Live · 11:00 · 2026-10-22 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 16 models
The MongolZ
55.3%
56%
44%
BIG: $1.31 (1) · x1.76 Pool $2.31 The MongolZ: $1.00 (1) · x2.31
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
indoubt
Oct 21, 20:51
The MongolZ
$1.00
+$2.31
won
hyskeee
Oct 21, 19:55
BIG
$1.31
lost
Model Predictions (16)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
69.1%
win probability
The MongolZ
62.1%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
68.8%
win probability
The MongolZ
60.4%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
64.6%
win probability
BIG
52.0%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
61.8%
win probability
The MongolZ
64.8%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
59.7%
win probability
The MongolZ
65.3%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
58.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
65.8%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
57.8%
win probability
The MongolZ
65.3%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
55.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
49.8%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
The MongolZ
54.6%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
54.2%
win probability
The MongolZ
69.4%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
53.4%
win probability
The MongolZ
57.3%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
53.3%
win probability
The MongolZ
70.5%
accuracy
✓
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.6%
win probability
The MongolZ
73.9%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
52.5%
win probability
BIG
65.6%
accuracy
✕
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.1%
win probability
The MongolZ
70.6%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
52.0%
win probability
BIG
61.9%
accuracy
✕
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