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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 78.3%    STRONGHOLD 75.7%    TIER3ELO 73.9%    VANGUARD 73.6%    TRIBUNAL 72.7%    NEXUS 72.6%    HIGHORACLE 70.7%    ELOHQ 70.6%    TIERELO 70.5%    TIER2ELO 69.4%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-22 18:29 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Pulse Beat III · bo3 · 13:00 · 2026-10-14 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 14 models
Astralis
58.5%
46%
54%
HOTU: $1.00 (1) · x2.13 Pool $2.13 Astralis: $1.13 (1) · x1.88
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
StarBlank
Oct 14, 12:24
HOTU
$1.00
lost
lonegopherx
Oct 14, 12:12
Astralis
$1.13
+$2.13
won
Model Predictions (14)
SQUAD
Player ratings
84.2%
win probability
Astralis
60.4%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
74.6%
win probability
Astralis
52.0%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
66.3%
win probability
Astralis
62.1%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
60.5%
win probability
HOTU
61.9%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
Astralis
54.6%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
57.8%
win probability
Astralis
58.9%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
57.3%
win probability
Astralis
64.8%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
57.1%
win probability
Astralis
63.5%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
56.9%
win probability
Astralis
57.3%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
56.7%
win probability
Astralis
49.8%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
54.7%
win probability
Astralis
65.3%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
54.4%
win probability
Astralis
65.6%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
52.2%
win probability
Astralis
65.3%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.1%
win probability
Astralis
70.6%
accuracy
✓
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