SQUAD

Player ratings

80.6%

win probability

Aurora

60.4%

accuracy

✓

APEX

ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)

79.0%

win probability

Aurora

65.3%

accuracy

✓

PHANTOM

ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)

76.4%

win probability

Aurora

65.8%

accuracy

✓

SURGE

Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters

75.8%

win probability

Ninjas in Pyjamas

52.0%

accuracy

✕

NEXUS

APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction

74.9%

win probability

Aurora

72.6%

accuracy

✓

EAGLE

Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate

74.8%

win probability

Aurora

61.9%

accuracy

✓

ORACLE

ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS

70.8%

win probability

Aurora

65.6%

accuracy

✓

HIGH-ORACLE

Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)

70.8%

win probability

Aurora

70.7%

accuracy

✓

FORM

Win rate last 10 matches

69.0%

win probability

Ninjas in Pyjamas

54.6%

accuracy

✕

OPEN

Rank + form + head-to-head

60.1%

win probability

Ninjas in Pyjamas

57.3%

accuracy

✕

WR10P

Pure win rate vs top-10

58.3%

win probability

Ninjas in Pyjamas

50.5%

accuracy

✕

SOS

Rank + form + opponent strength

57.7%

win probability

Aurora

63.5%

accuracy

✓

MAJOR

Rank + H2H + Form for major events

55.5%

win probability

Aurora

58.1%

accuracy

✓

ELO

Team ELO rating

55.3%

win probability

Aurora

64.8%

accuracy

✓

XGPRO

Rank + H2H for top matches

55.0%

win probability

Aurora

57.8%

accuracy

✓

WR10C

Win rate top-10 + ELO + form

55.0%

win probability

Ninjas in Pyjamas

62.1%

accuracy

✕

ELOFACE

ELO + training activity

53.5%

win probability

Aurora

65.3%

accuracy

✓

STREAK

Rank + H2H + win/loss streak

53.1%

win probability

Ninjas in Pyjamas

58.9%

accuracy

✕

TIER2

Top-teams ELO v2

52.6%

win probability

Aurora

69.4%

accuracy

✓

WR10

Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10

52.6%

win probability

Aurora

57.5%

accuracy

✓

TIER

ELO for top-30 teams

52.2%

win probability

Aurora

70.5%

accuracy

✓