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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 78.3%    STRONGHOLD 75.7%    TIER3ELO 73.9%    VANGUARD 73.6%    TRIBUNAL 72.7%    NEXUS 72.6%    HIGHORACLE 70.7%    ELOHQ 70.6%    TIERELO 70.5%    TIER2ELO 69.4%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-22 18:29 UTC · Next:
Completed
Thunderpick World Championship 2026Semifinal · Live · 14:00 · 2026-10-17 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 12 models
Aurora
56.0%
50%
50%
FURIA: $1.00 (1) · x2.00 Pool $2.00 Aurora: $1.00 (1) · x2.00
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 2 latest
Shawk
Oct 16, 16:17
Aurora
$1.00
lost
indoubt
Oct 16, 16:10
FURIA
$1.00
+$2.00
won
Model Predictions (12)
SQUAD
Player ratings
84.0%
win probability
Aurora
60.4%
accuracy
✕
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
64.6%
win probability
FURIA
52.0%
accuracy
✓
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
63.6%
win probability
Aurora
62.1%
accuracy
✕
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
61.5%
win probability
Aurora
65.6%
accuracy
✕
ELO
Team ELO rating
55.8%
win probability
Aurora
64.8%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
Aurora
54.6%
accuracy
✕
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
53.8%
win probability
Aurora
65.3%
accuracy
✕
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
53.4%
win probability
Aurora
63.5%
accuracy
✕
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
53.0%
win probability
Aurora
50.5%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
52.5%
win probability
Aurora
65.3%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
52.5%
win probability
Aurora
57.3%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
52.1%
win probability
FURIA
58.1%
accuracy
✓
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