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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 79.4%    STRONGHOLD 76.7%    VANGUARD 76.7%    TIER3ELO 75.4%    TRIBUNAL 74.6%    NEXUS 72.6%    TIERELO 72.1%    ELOHQ 71.9%    HIGHORACLE 71.5%    TIER2ELO 70.5%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-03 23:57 UTC · Next:
Completed
Parken Challenger Championship Season 6 · bo3 · 13:00 · 2026-05-11 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 24 models
100 Thieves
64.2%
7%
93%
100 Thieves: $5.61 (1) · x13.89 Pool $77.95 Acend: $72.34 (2) · x1.08
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 3 latest
AZIDOT
May 11, 05:01
Acend
$61.70
lost
erners
May 10, 15:51
Acend
$10.64
lost
r3salt
May 10, 15:46
100 Thieves
$5.61
+$77.95
won
Model Predictions (24)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
82.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.8%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
74.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
66.8%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
74.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
71.5%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
72.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
60.2%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
72.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
66.5%
accuracy
✓
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
72.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
72.6%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
72.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.3%
accuracy
✓
SENTINEL
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
72.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
79.4%
accuracy
✓
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
71.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
76.7%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
71.4%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.3%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
70.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
66.0%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
64.4%
win probability
100 Thieves
66.0%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
62.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
54.7%
accuracy
✓
TRIBUNAL
OPEN + PRO + ORACLE all >55% same direction
61.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
74.6%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
61.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
63.0%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
55.8%
win probability
Acend
49.3%
accuracy
✕
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
57.8%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
58.7%
accuracy
✓
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
59.0%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
55.4%
win probability
100 Thieves
71.9%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
70.5%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
53.4%
win probability
100 Thieves
72.1%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
52.8%
win probability
Acend
51.2%
accuracy
✕
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
75.4%
accuracy
✓
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