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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 75.2%    STRONGHOLD 74.8%    TIER3ELO 73.0%    VANGUARD 72.7%    TRIBUNAL 71.4%    NEXUS 71.2%    ELOHQ 70.1%    TIERELO 69.9%    HIGHORACLE 69.5%    TIER2ELO 68.9%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-29 18:40 UTC · Next:
Completed
FiRe Last Chance 2026 · bo3 · 19:30 · 2026-10-29 · OTHER · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 19 models
100 Thieves
65.5%
Predictions locked — match finished
Model Predictions (19)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
80.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.3%
accuracy
✓
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
77.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
51.5%
accuracy
✓
VANGUARD
Sharp consensus: ELO + WR10 both >65% same direction
74.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
72.7%
accuracy
✓
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
74.5%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.7%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
73.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
50.7%
accuracy
✓
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
72.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
71.2%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
71.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.0%
accuracy
✓
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
71.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
69.5%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
68.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.6%
accuracy
✓
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
65.5%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.4%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
63.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
61.4%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
62.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
60.4%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
62.5%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.4%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
56.6%
win probability
100 Thieves
63.7%
accuracy
✓
WR10
Rank + H2H + win rate vs top-10
55.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
57.4%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.5%
win probability
100 Thieves
70.1%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
68.9%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
52.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
50.5%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
52.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
69.9%
accuracy
✓
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