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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 80.6%    VANGUARD 77.6%    STRONGHOLD 76.9%    TIER3ELO 75.8%    TRIBUNAL 74.9%    NEXUS 73.3%    ELOHQ 72.5%    TIERELO 72.5%    HIGHORACLE 72.2%    TIER2ELO 71.1%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-01 02:15 UTC · Next:
Completed
Stake Pulse Beat IIGrand Final · Live · 17:00 · 2026-09-26 · TOP · HLTV →
50%
50%
100 Thieves: $2.00 (2) · x2.00 Pool $4.00 HEROIC: $2.00 (2) · x2.00
Predictions locked — match finished
Predictions on this match · 4 latest
EXP
Sep 26, 16:58
HEROIC
$1.00
+$2.00
won
oddmitten
Sep 26, 16:43
100 Thieves
$1.00
lost
SBT
Sep 26, 16:26
HEROIC
$1.00
+$2.00
won
Jardani
Sep 26, 16:20
100 Thieves
$1.00
lost
Model Predictions (17)
SURGE
Best-improving player K-D trajectory across team starters
86.5%
win probability
100 Thieves
52.0%
accuracy
✕
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
70.1%
win probability
HEROIC
62.9%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
62.2%
win probability
HEROIC
51.6%
accuracy
✓
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
61.4%
win probability
HEROIC
67.2%
accuracy
✓
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
61.3%
win probability
HEROIC
63.4%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
58.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
48.8%
accuracy
✕
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
58.3%
win probability
HEROIC
66.6%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
57.3%
win probability
HEROIC
65.5%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
56.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.4%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.5%
win probability
100 Thieves
58.9%
accuracy
✕
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
58.7%
accuracy
✕
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
55.0%
win probability
HEROIC
54.9%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
54.8%
win probability
HEROIC
66.2%
accuracy
✓
STREAK
Rank + H2H + win/loss streak
54.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
59.2%
accuracy
✕
SQUAD
Player ratings
52.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
60.1%
accuracy
✕
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
52.7%
win probability
HEROIC
66.5%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
52.2%
win probability
HEROIC
72.5%
accuracy
✓
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