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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 85.2%    STRONGHOLD 85.0%    TRIBUNAL 83.3%    NEXUS 82.9%    TIER3ELO 81.8%    TIERELO 79.6%    TIER2ELO 76.8%    HIGHORACLE 76.0%    ELOHQ 75.8%   
Last refresh: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC · Next:
Completed
PGL Astana 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · Live · 10:00 · 2026-04-02 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 17 models
100 Thieves
59.6%
Model Predictions (17)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
74.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
63.7%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
70.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
60.5%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
69.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
66.5%
accuracy
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
67.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
85.0%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
65.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
66.6%
accuracy
SENTINEL
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
65.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
85.2%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
63.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
67.0%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
54.0%
accuracy
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
55.8%
win probability
Lavked
49.1%
accuracy
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
63.1%
accuracy
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.0%
accuracy
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.4%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
75.8%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
76.8%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
53.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
79.6%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
52.8%
win probability
Lavked
53.7%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
81.8%
accuracy
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