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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier SENTINEL 79.4%    STRONGHOLD 76.7%    VANGUARD 76.7%    TIER3ELO 75.4%    TRIBUNAL 74.6%    NEXUS 72.6%    TIERELO 72.1%    ELOHQ 71.9%    HIGHORACLE 71.5%    TIER2ELO 70.5%   
Last refresh: 2026-10-03 21:28 UTC · Next:
Completed
PGL Astana 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · Live · 10:00 · 2026-04-02 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 17 models
100 Thieves
59.7%
Predictions locked — match finished
Model Predictions (17)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
74.2%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.8%
accuracy
✓
SQUAD
Player ratings
70.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
60.2%
accuracy
✓
ELO
Team ELO rating
69.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.3%
accuracy
✓
STRONGHOLD
ELO + SOS both >60% same direction
67.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
76.7%
accuracy
✓
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
65.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.3%
accuracy
✓
SENTINEL
Anti-signal: SOS >60% confirmed by Mind anti-prediction
65.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
79.4%
accuracy
✓
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
63.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
66.0%
accuracy
✓
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
59.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
54.7%
accuracy
✓
MIND
Psychology + tilt + H2H
55.8%
win probability
Lavked
49.3%
accuracy
✕
MAJOR
Rank + H2H + Form for major events
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
59.0%
accuracy
✓
OPEN
Rank + form + head-to-head
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
57.8%
accuracy
✓
XGPRO
Rank + H2H for top matches
55.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
58.7%
accuracy
✓
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.9%
win probability
100 Thieves
71.9%
accuracy
✓
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
70.5%
accuracy
✓
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
53.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
72.1%
accuracy
✓
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
52.8%
win probability
Lavked
51.2%
accuracy
✕
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
75.4%
accuracy
✓
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