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Match Prediction Engine
Top models accuracy · top-tier VANGUARD 86.1%    SENTINEL 84.1%    STRONGHOLD 83.1%    TRIBUNAL 83.0%    TIER3ELO 80.0%    TIERELO 77.7%    NEXUS 77.4%    TIER2ELO 75.3%    ELOHQ 73.2%    HIGHORACLE 70.3%   
Last refresh: 2026-05-19 00:00 UTC · Next:
Completed
BC Game Masters Europe Season 2 Series 2 Quarterfinal · Live · 17:00 · 2026-05-30 · TOP · HLTV →
Model Consensus based on 17 models
100 Thieves
61.7%
Prediction Pool · $0
50%
50%
100 Thieves: $0 (0) · x0 Nemesis: $0 (0) · x0
Predictions on this match · 5 latest
mazda
May 30, 11:42
100 Thieves
$95.90
refunded
Rack
May 30, 11:27
100 Thieves
$11.51
refunded
Goofy
May 29, 21:37
100 Thieves
$34.64
refunded
d1maje
May 29, 21:27
100 Thieves
$102.29
refunded
nicoodoz
May 29, 21:22
100 Thieves
$11.43
refunded
Model Predictions (17)
WR10C
Win rate top-10 + ELO + form
75.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
62.8%
accuracy
APEX
ELO + Form + Streak + SOS (optimized)
73.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.0%
accuracy
NEXUS
APEX + ORACLE both >65% same direction
73.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
77.4%
accuracy
ORACLE
ELO + ELOHQ + Form + Tilt + SOS
72.4%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.1%
accuracy
HIGH-ORACLE
Oracle filtered to high confidence only (>67%)
72.4%
win probability
100 Thieves
70.3%
accuracy
PHANTOM
ELO + TierELO + WinRate + Tilt (max accuracy)
68.4%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.3%
accuracy
ELO
Team ELO rating
67.7%
win probability
100 Thieves
64.4%
accuracy
SQUAD
Player ratings
66.7%
win probability
Nemesis
60.7%
accuracy
EAGLE
Rank + ELO + ELOHQ + Form + WinRate
65.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
55.9%
accuracy
ELOFACE
ELO + training activity
61.8%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.1%
accuracy
SOS
Rank + form + opponent strength
59.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
65.3%
accuracy
WR10P
Pure win rate vs top-10
58.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
54.3%
accuracy
FORM
Win rate last 10 matches
57.4%
win probability
100 Thieves
53.7%
accuracy
ELOHQ
High-confidence ELO
54.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
73.2%
accuracy
TIER2
Top-teams ELO v2
53.3%
win probability
100 Thieves
75.3%
accuracy
TIER
ELO for top-30 teams
53.1%
win probability
100 Thieves
77.7%
accuracy
TIER3
Top-teams ELO v3
52.0%
win probability
100 Thieves
80.0%
accuracy
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